Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.085919 0.095863 0.106066 0.117287 0.129254 0.141606 0.155293
2025-03-02 0.072482 0.087635 0.103957 0.122714 0.143545 0.165849 0.191414
2025-03-09 0.058591 0.076416 0.096492 0.120467 0.148016 0.178401 0.214165
2025-03-16 0.047536 0.066700 0.089210 0.117038 0.149977 0.187222 0.232024
2025-03-23 0.042643 0.063522 0.088884 0.121088 0.160060 0.204936 0.259761
2025-03-30 0.038045 0.060068 0.087689 0.123638 0.168020 0.219953 0.284259
2025-04-06 0.034872 0.058033 0.087919 0.127653 0.177542 0.236701 0.310765
2025-04-13 0.030556 0.053963 0.085132 0.127534 0.181729 0.246888 0.329388
2025-04-20 0.029631 0.054485 0.088283 0.134957 0.195295 0.268476 0.361789
2025-04-27 0.025605 0.050108 0.084507 0.133075 0.196909 0.275308 0.376281
2025-05-04 0.023837 0.048907 0.084947 0.136658 0.205433 0.290650 0.401173
2025-05-11 0.021228 0.046126 0.082948 0.136782 0.209359 0.300192 0.418927
2025-05-18 0.020458 0.046381 0.085514 0.143498 0.222419 0.321878 0.452595
2025-05-25 0.019298 0.045900 0.086991 0.148773 0.233731 0.341598 0.484180
2025-06-01 0.016270 0.041861 0.082866 0.145942 0.234061 0.347209 0.498069
2025-06-08 0.013384 0.037652 0.078144 0.141967 0.232615 0.350374 0.508770
2025-06-15 0.012580 0.037237 0.079318 0.146528 0.242831 0.368706 0.538801
2025-06-22 0.011526 0.036194 0.079389 0.149405 0.250708 0.384011 0.565049
2025-06-29 0.010866 0.035866 0.080582 0.153941 0.260912 0.402428 0.595386
2025-07-06 0.009484 0.033814 0.078755 0.153806 0.264502 0.412086 0.614473
2025-07-13 0.009565 0.034991 0.082457 0.162181 0.280200 0.437935 0.654634
2025-07-20 0.008074 0.032374 0.079439 0.160058 0.280886 0.443718 0.668777
2025-07-27 0.007580 0.032033 0.080382 0.164097 0.290405 0.461379 0.698455